Sum
Despite recently perking up, VIX looks ready to drop back down. XIV trouble at YR2 as expected but still above all pivots. In other words, VIX and XIV while showing some concern just don't look too bad.
GLD jumped above all pivots as of 3/21, the 2nd time this year.
TLT & AGG both held 2016 lows but so far rally back to MarP and testing those levels.
If VIX higher and TLT up above MarP, stocks likely dropping. VIX down especially if back under all pivots and TLT rejected from MarP would coincide with stock bounce.
VIX
Weekly lifting from 2014 low.Daily shows same.
VIX test of MarR1 which was sold; also note D200MA resistance.
VIX sum - perked up but did not get far, and Friday's bar at MarR1 and D200MA looks ready to drop.
XIV
YR2 stopping the move. Amazing run from YP hold on 11/3-4.
Still above all pivots though.
TLT
Weekly chart far from long term levels.
Daily chart nice rebound off 2016 low test and MarS2, but still facing resistance at the MarP.
TLT has tried to rally 4 times this year only to fail on 3 of those. No opinion on next move but above MarP likely bearish for stocks.
AGG
Also resistance at MarP.
GLD
Clear safe haven of choice this year, lifting above YP & 1HP.
Daily charts successful hold of YP area and 1 day jump above D400, D100, D50 and D10. Those are the days to take a stab. For now above all pivots. May test D200 again which will be an interesting tell for the market.
GDX
Not keeping up with GLD; still under 1HP and did not clear D50.