8/2/2017

Curious day. SPY held Q3R1 as support, and VIX AugP was rejected. Typically these are bullish signs. But stopped cold at 2HR1 tag, QQQ fell under Q3R1 and and VTI a bit under Q3R1 as well. IWM leading down as called, below AugP. Additionally, XIV fractionally under YR3 - not enough to be rejection, but still. Anything under YR3 means high of the year in XIV (ie low in VIX) could be in - and this implies down for risk assets.

If markets are in real trouble then we will see more risk indexes below monthly pivots - so far only IWM and XBI - as safe havens continue to strengthen. 

SPY, IWM and XIV below. 

2 11 IWM D.png
2 12 XIV D.png