Valuation and fundamentals

The 10 period moving average of SPX forward 12 months earnings as implied by Thomson Reuters is a bit higher than last week, from 132.48 to 132.58. So this makes the 10MA of the P/E 17.23, which is just a bit under the current value of 17.34. 

Every week I have pointed out target of 18x forward earnings; the current value is 2440 and 10MA is 2386. I think 19x is a cap, because I don't think smart $ will wait for 20x forward earnings to sell. This is currently 2576 and 10MA is 2518.

Thus, 10MA target range of 18x-19x forward earnings of 2386 to 2518 is 1.5% - 7.1% from current SPX levels. 

Last week I mentioned that 17.5x might have been part of resistance market was facing, but didn't pose any problems. 

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Citigroup Economic Surprise Index as reporting by Yardeni looks great, looking to be the highest since early 2014. 

These are both a moderate positive for markets.