Prior gold posts:
1/27
"With 3 trading days left in the week, it is possible that gold is giving the best looking long term buy bar in about a year. Very simple: if the move is for real then gold stays above the 1HP and will then clear the YP." "Above that [1HP/Q1P combo] is bullish because now a market that was very beat up is suddenly above 3 pivots. Then the all important YP is not far and may test."
2/1
"Last week I noted on the blog that GLD might be putting one of the best weekly bars in quite some time." "Still, the [2/1] open at 107.54 is just a little over 2% above the 1HP which is not bad risk/reward for a long term position. If breaks on a weekly close then the position is closed. If it rallies above the YP with a look of support, then add."
2/4
"So the big question here is whether this is normal pullback to support on DXY and another failed breakout attempt in gold, or whether we are seeing a real long term trend change. I don't know, but I do know where to watch to answer this question. DXY YP 96.48 and GC G6 YP 1137 (just continue to update on rollovers)."
Now let's look and see what happened. GLD W below with long term pivots only. Clear lift above the 1HP the 1/25 week was the first tell. Active traders were buying there, long term investors looking at charts over the weekend could have been taking partial positions on the 2/1 open.
Here's the daily chart. Volume was picking up on the advance to the YP, a good sign. No rejection at all, next day above, then launch. Per notes above, full position. I think let this one run for a while :)